Direct links to research
Disability and Insurance
"Lessons from SSA Demonstrations for Disability Policy and Future Research." edited volume with Jeff Hemmeter and Debra Goetz Engler (2020.) Abt Associates.
"Comparing the PRA Program to Other Housing Options for People with Disabilities." with Ian Breunig and Sam Dastrup (2020.) Abt Associates.
"BOND Implementation and Evaluation: Final Evaluation Report" with co-authors (2017.) Social Security Administration.
"Economic Conditions and SSI Applications" with Lucie Schmidt and Purvi Sevak (2017.) Social Security Bulletin.
"The Impact of Temporary Assistance Programs on Disability Rolls and Re-employment." with Lindner (2014.) Research in Labor Economics.
"The Impact of Mental Health Treatment on Low-Income Mothers' Work" with Loprest (2008) Washington, DC: Urban Institute.
The Welfare Implications of Increasing Disability Insurance Benefit Generosity. (2004) Journal of Public Economics, 88(12):2487-2514.
Prior (working paper) version: "The Welfare Implications of Increasing Disability Insurance Benefit Generosity"
Tracking the Household Income of SSDI and SSI Applicants. (2003) with John Bound and Richard V. Burkhauser. In Polachek, Solomon (ed.). Research in Labor Economics, Vol 22: 113-158. Prior working paper version: "Tracking the Household Income of Those Who Apply for Federal Disability Insurance"
Health
"Technology Regulation Reconsidered: The Effects of Certificate of Need Policies on the Quantity and Quality of Diagnostic Imaging." (2025.) Journal of Health Economics, with Horwitz, Yu, Colla, and Cutler.
"Hospital Service Offerings Still Differ Substantially By Ownership Type." (2022.) Health Affairs, 41(3):331-340, with Jill Horwitz.
"The Role of Hospital and Market Characteristics in Invasive Cardiac Service Diffusion." (2018.) Review of Industrial Organization, 53:81–115, with Horwitz and Hsuan.
"Expansion of Invasive Cardiac Services in the United States." (2013.) Circulation, 128(8): 803-10, with Horwitz, Nallamothu, Sasson, Iwashyna.
"Churning under the ACA and State Policy Options for Mitigation." (2012) with Buettgens and Dorn.
"Hyperthermic Isolated Limb Perfusion for Extremity Soft Tissue Sarcomas: Systematic Review of Clinical Efficacy and Quality Assessment of Reported Trials." (2012.) Journal of Surgical Oncology, with Trabulsi, Patakfalvi, Nassif, Turcotte, Meguerditchian.
"Rural Hospital Ownership: Medical Service Provision, Market Mix, and Spillover Effects." (2011.) Health Services Research, 46(5): 1452-1472, with Horwitz
Hospital Ownership and Medical Services: Market Mix, Spillover Effects, and Nonprofit Objectives. (2009.) Journal of Health Economics, 28(5):924-937. (NBER WP, July 2007.)
Income inequality, variability, and economic security
"Income Risk in 30 Countries." (2014.) Review of Income and Wealth, with Philipp Rehm.
"The Economic Security Index: A New Measure for Research and Policy Analysis." (2013.) Review of Income and Wealth, with Hacker, Huber, Rehm, Schlesinger, Valletta, and Craig.
"Income Dynamics and Politics in North America and Europe." (2012.) Oxford Bibliographies in Political Science. Ed. Rick Valelly. New York: Oxford University Press.
Income Inequality, Volatility, and Mobility Risk in China and the US. (2010) China Economic Review, 21:3-11.
America Insecure: Changes in the Economic Security of American Families (Feb 2010)
Risk and Recovery: Understanding the Changing Risks to Family Incomes (paper Oct 2009)
Risk and Recovery: Documenting the Changing Risks to Family Incomes (brief May 2009)
The Impact of Changing Earnings Volatility on Retirement Wealth (April 2009)
Trends in Income Inequality, Volatility, and Mobility Risk. Paper presented at the IRISS 10th Anniversary Workshop in Differdange, Luxembourg, October 25, 2008.
Income Inequality, Volatility, and Mobility Risk. Handout accompanying June 3 Forum on Income Volatility
Measuring Trends in Income Variability (with Seth Zimmerman, May 2008)
Discussion of "Trends in Individual Earnings Variability and Household Income Variability Over the Past 20 Years" (Dahl, DeLeire, and Schwabish; draft of Jan 3, 2008). Slides for presentation at AEA, January 4, 2008, New Orleans LA. The paper discussed is now available from the CBO website.
Poverty and low-income workers
The Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) (2016), with Jesse Rothstein.
Retooling Poverty Targeting Using Out-of-Sample Validation and Machine Learning (2018), The World Bank Economic Review 32(3): 531–550, with Linden McBride, about poverty targeting and stochastic ensemble methods.
"Poverty in the United States." (September 17, 2013.)
"Recent Changes in Child Poverty Driven by Labor Market." (September 16, 2013.)
"Explaining Changes in Child Poverty Over the Past Four Decades." (September 16, 2013.)
"Poverty Higher in 2011, but Falling?" (2012)
"Poverty and Unemployment." (2012).
"Poverty in the United States." (September 12, 2012.)
"What Happens to Families' Income and Poverty after Unemployment?" Perspectives on Low-Income Working Families Brief 25, with Sheila R. Zedlewski. (May 31, 2012.)
"Receipt of Assistance by Education." (2012.) Widely misquoted.
"Inequality: A Brief Overview." (2012.)
Poverty in the United States, September 16, 2010
Low-Income Workers and Their Employers: Characteristics and Challenges (Sept. 2007)
An Assessment of the Income and Expenses of America's Low-Income Families Using Survey Data from the National Survey of America's Families (with Gregory Acs). Prepared for the National Poverty Center's May 2006 conference on Consumption, Income, and the Well-Being of Families and Children; version of September 28, 2006
Understanding Changes in Child Poverty Over the Past Decade . Assessing the New Federalism Discussion Paper No. 06-02, May 11, 2006.
Working to Make Ends Meet: Understanding the Income and Expenses of America's Low-Income Families (with Greg Acs). Low Income Working Families Papers, No. 2 (UI: Washington, DC, Sept 2005).
Tax-Transfer Policy and Labor-Market Outcomes (with Nada Eissa). American Economic Review 95(2), May 2005.
How Have Households with Children Fared in the Job Market Downturn? (with Greg Acs and Harry Holzer). No. A-67 in Series, "New Federalism: Issues and Options for States" (UI: Washington, DC, April 29, 2005).
Population and demographic trends
Scenarios for Regional Growth from 2010 to 2030 with Rolf Pendall, Steven Martin, Nan Marie Astone, Kaitlin Franks, Allison Stolte, and Elizabeth Peters (2015). Washington, DC: Urban Institute.
Evolving Patterns in Diversity with Rolf Pendall, Steven Martin, Nan Marie Astone, Kaitlin Franks, Allison Stolte, and Elizabeth Peters (2015). Washington, DC: Urban Institute.
Children and Youth in an Aging America with Rolf Pendall, Steven Martin, Nan Marie Astone, Kaitlin Franks, Allison Stolte, and Elizabeth Peters (2015). Washington, DC: Urban Institute.
The Labor Force in an Aging and Growing America with Rolf Pendall, Steven Martin, Nan Marie Astone, Kaitlin Franks, Allison Stolte, and Elizabeth Peters (2015). Washington, DC: Urban Institute.
Methodology and Assumptions for Mapping America's Futures Project with Steven Martin and Kaitlin Franks (2015). Washington, DC: Urban Institute.
2000-2010 Population Profiles: Atlanta, Las Vegas, Washington, DC, and Youngstown with Rolf Pendall, Steven Martin, Nan Marie Astone, Kaitlin Franks, Allison Stolte, and Elizabeth Peters (2015). Washington, DC: Urban Institute.
Unemployment and labor market policy
Effects of a Higher Minimum Wage in the District of Columbia with Jonathan Schwabish (2014). Washington, DC: Urban Institute.
Understanding the Implications of Raising the Minimum Wage in the District of Columbia" with Gregory Acs, Laura Wheaton, Maria E. Enchautegui (2014). Washington, DC: Urban Institute.
Consequences of Long-Term Unemployment. with Josh Mitchell, and Stephan Lindner. (August, 2013.)
Why are Fewer People in the Labor Force During the Great Recession? with Stephan Lindner. (August, 2013.)
Job Polarization and the Great Recession. with Josh Mitchell (October 15, 2012.)
How Do Unemployment Insurance Modernization Laws Affect the Number and Composition of Eligible Workers? with Stephan Lindner. (2012)
Racial and Ethnic Differences in Receipt of Unemployment Insurance Benefits During the Great Recession. Unemployment and Recovery Project Brief #4 with Margaret Simms. (2012)
The Impact Of Mental Health Treatment On Low-Income Mothers Work with Pam Loprest (June 2008). Washington, DC: Urban Institute.
Intergenerational mobility, human capital and fertility
Self-Employment, Family-Business Ownership, and Economic Mobility (2013) with Brown.
A Detailed Picture of Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital (2009) with Favreault.
Economic Determinants of Fertility Behavior. Dissertation, University of Michigan. Accepted November 2004.
Education and test scores
Evidence speaks: More findings about school vouchers and test scores, and they are still negative (2017)
The Power of Coaching:
Highlights from the Interim Report on the Impact of
Success Boston s Transition Coaching on College Success (2017)
Public School Choice and Student Achievement in the District of Columbia (2010)
New Estimates of Design Parameters for Clustered Randomization Studies: Findings from North Carolina and Florida (2010)
Gender Gaps in Math and Reading Gains During Elementary and High School by Race and Ethnicity. (2007)
Achievement Gains in Elementary and High School. (2006)
Nonprofits
"Rural Hospital Ownership: Medical Service Provision, Market Mix, and Spillover Effects." (2011.) Health Services Research, 46(5): 1452-1472, with Horwitz
The Attack on Nonprofit Status. (2010) Michigan Law Review, 108:1179-1220.
What Do Nonprofits Maximize? Nonprofit Hospital Service Provision and Market Ownership Mix. (2009) Journal of Health Economics, 28(5):924-937. (NBER WP, July 2007.)
Other social policy
Evaluation of the $150 Child Support Pass-Through and Disregard Policy in the District of Columbia. (2013) with Lippold and Sorenson.
The Community Healthy Marriage Initiative Evaluation: Impacts Of A Community Approach To Strengthening Families. (2012) OPRE Report 2012-34B. Washington, DC: Office of Planning, Research and Evaluation, Administration for Children and Families, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, with Bir, Lerman, Kofke-Egger, and Smith.
Benefits of Living in High-Opportunity Neighborhoods: Insights from the Moving to Opportunity Demonstration. (2012) with Turner and Comey.
The New York Noncustodial Parent EITC: Its Impact on Child Support Payments and Employment. (2012) with Lippold and Sorenson.
"TANF Recipients' Implicit Tax Rates from Earnings Disregard Policies. (2012)" with Kassabian.
"Helping Poor Families Gain and Sustain Access to High-Opportunity Neighborhoods. (2011)" with Turner, Comey, Kuehn.
Inference and estimation
Evaluation of Community-Wide Interventions. (2013)
Erratum and discussion of propensity score reweighting. (2008) Stata Journal 8(4).
Causal inference with observational data. (2007) Stata Journal 7(4): 507-541.
Stata talks
Weak instruments: An overview and new techniques (July 24, 2006)
Clustered Errors in Stata (2007)
GMM estimation in Mata (2008)
Causal inference (2009)
Regression for nonnegative skewed dependent variables (2010)
Causal inference for binary regression (2011)
Measuring mobility (2014)
Propensity scores and causal inference using machine learning methods (2017)
Interactive maps (2017)
Analyzing satellite data in Stata (2017)
